Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.050475 0.054903 0.059396 0.064289 0.069458 0.074750 0.080570
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.042174 0.048500 0.055161 0.062670 0.070871 0.079529 0.089334
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.036185 0.043812 0.052118 0.061774 0.072625 0.084381 0.098018
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.033126 0.041960 0.051866 0.063683 0.077279 0.092319 0.110101
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.030063 0.039758 0.050933 0.064586 0.080631 0.098712 0.120448
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.027430 0.037788 0.050040 0.065337 0.083663 0.104656 0.130263
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.024554 0.035256 0.048246 0.064817 0.085038 0.108568 0.137663
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.022767 0.033920 0.047770 0.065770 0.088083 0.114390 0.147291
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.020557 0.031854 0.046220 0.065254 0.089229 0.117871 0.154101
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.018955 0.030459 0.045412 0.065568 0.091320 0.122444 0.162202
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.017879 0.029687 0.045339 0.066760 0.094467 0.128289 0.171858
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.017460 0.029788 0.046393 0.069399 0.099453 0.136430 0.184379
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.015289 0.027271 0.043837 0.067243 0.098301 0.136991 0.187679
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.013829 0.025686 0.042464 0.066586 0.099030 0.139879 0.193867
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012593 0.024341 0.041348 0.066207 0.100075 0.143144 0.200531
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012267 0.024380 0.042192 0.068525 0.104714 0.151042 0.213107
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011625 0.023866 0.042198 0.069650 0.107750 0.156893 0.223128
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010969 0.023280 0.042056 0.070540 0.110457 0.162324 0.232647
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010010 0.022113 0.040981 0.070043 0.111235 0.165217 0.238907
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009503 0.021675 0.040983 0.071080 0.114111 0.170875 0.248766
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.008671 0.020602 0.039948 0.070550 0.114780 0.173593 0.254808
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.008097 0.019944 0.039524 0.070891 0.116645 0.177899 0.262934
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.007759 0.019692 0.039726 0.072155 0.119808 0.183952 0.273378